So much winning.
Two months ago I wrote a piece entitled “How the Iran War ends.”
Here’s an excerpt…
“the Iranians will:
keep their uranium,
not agree to international monitoring of nuclear weapons development except on the most favorable conditions
continue to exercise control over the Strait of Hormuz, and
the hardest-of-hard-liners now in control of Iran will gain even more power.”
I write this not to crow about my foresight rather to note even a layperson could see how Trump’s disaster was going to end.
And…here we are. Exactly as forecast.
From the estimable Phillips O’Brien:
…(the) US in the end has so little leverage in these negotiations that Iran will achieve a great deal. Already the Iranians have supplemented their position enormously while the US is in a worse position than on Feb 27. Just as a short list of US concessions, much of which came out of the MOU which I broke down last week. Consider these points:
The US now has legitimized and promised to support the IRGC government
The US has given up any attempts to restrict Iran’s missile capacity
The US has given up any attempts to limit Iran’s military industrial capacity
The US is standing by as the IRGC executes numerous Iranians who rose up after Trump said he would support the Iranian people.
The US is now pushing for Hezbollah not to be attacked
The US is enthusiastically enabling the sale of Iranian oil on the world market
The US is working to find ways to get billions of $’s sent to Iran
What does this mean for you?
You get the government you deserve, and you deserve to get it good and hard - HL Mencken.

